Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio | 0% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of trieste: andrea pellegrino vs raul brancaccio. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Raul Brancaccio in the Trieste, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve t…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio on Who Will Win 2026
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