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Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

Five-platform snapshot of "Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

13% YES 87% NO Volume: $272K Liquidity: $110K Closes: 31 May 2026
Trade on Who Will Win 2026 →
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Who Will Win 2026 Pick
polygram.ink
13% 87% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
13% 87% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Who Will Win 2026 →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win 2026.

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Daniil Medvedev in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Adam Walton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Who Will Win 2026 is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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