Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Appalachian State vs. East Carolina | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| East Carolina O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Jaquari Lewis: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Michael Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Malachi Singleton: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Treyaun Webb: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Ashton Gray: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jeremiah Melvin: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Mitch Griffis: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Sam Pickett III: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Brock Spalding: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tyler Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Ismael Smith Flores: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| TJ Engleman: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jackson Grier: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Kanye Roberts: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Darrin Fugitt: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Dillon Lorick: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Nate Branch: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Alex Sanchez: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Luke Douglas: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Mason Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Sam Mbake: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of appalachian state vs. east carolina. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Appalachian State and East Carolina, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Appalachian State" if Appa…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.
Methodology
We track Appalachian State vs. East Carolina across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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