Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 99% |
| Spread -7.5 | 97% |
| Spread -10.5 | 96% |
| O/U 39.5 | 94% |
| East Carolina O/U 5.5 | 91% |
| East Carolina O/U 4.5 | 91% |
| East Carolina O/U 6.5 | 90% |
| Spread -14.5 | 89% |
| O/U 45.5 | 89% |
| O/U 51.5 | 88% |
| Alabama O/U 34.5 | 88% |
| O/U 52.5 | 87% |
| Spread -16.5 | 84% |
| Spread -17.5 | 84% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 81% |
| O/U 53.5 | 80% |
| Spread -20.5 | 80% |
| Spread -21.5 | 80% |
| Alabama O/U 37.5 | 78% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 77% |
| Spread -24.5 | 76% |
| Alabama O/U 39.5 | 76% |
| O/U 55.5 | 75% |
| East Carolina O/U 9.5 | 75% |
| EJ Crowell: Anytime Touchdown | 75% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 73% |
| O/U 57.5 | 70% |
| O/U 54.5 | 69% |
| Spread -27.5 | 67% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 67% |
| Spread -13.5 | 66% |
| Alabama O/U 45.5 | 62% |
| Spread: Alabama (-28.5) | 58% |
| East Carolina O/U 12.5 | 57% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 53% |
| O/U 63.5 | 52% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Hill: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kevin Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keelon Russell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lotzeir Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ashton Gray: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Derek Meadows: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rico Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josh Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| TJ Engleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mitch Griffis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brock Spalding: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ismael Smith Flores: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeremiah Melvin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyler Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dillon Lorick: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 44% |
| East Carolina O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| East Carolina O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 36% |
| Spread -31.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| Spread -34.5 | 30% |
| O/U 69.5 | 26% |
| East Carolina vs. Alabama | 1% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
The East Carolina vs. Alabama prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET: If East Carolina wins, the market will resolve to "East Carolina". If Alabama wins, the market will resolve to "Alabama"…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $187K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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