Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| Spread -43.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| Spread -24.5 | 100% |
| Spread -27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| O/U 62.5 | 100% |
| O/U 64.5 | 100% |
| O/U 66.5 | 100% |
| O/U 68.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| Spread -23.5 | 100% |
| Spread -26.5 | 100% |
| Spread -30.5 | 100% |
| Spread -33.5 | 100% |
| Spread -35.5 | 100% |
| Spread -36.5 | 100% |
| Spread -37.5 | 100% |
| Spread -38.5 | 100% |
| Spread -39.5 | 100% |
| Spread -40.5 | 100% |
| Spread -41.5 | 100% |
| Spread -42.5 | 100% |
| Spread -45.5 | 100% |
| Spread -46.5 | 100% |
| Spread -47.5 | 100% |
| Spread -48.5 | 100% |
| Spread -49.5 | 100% |
| Spread -50.5 | 100% |
| Spread -51.5 | 100% |
| Spread -52.5 | 100% |
| Spread -54.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State 1H O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State 1H O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Grambling State 1H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| TCU 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| TCU 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| TCU 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| TCU 2H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| TCU 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| TCU 2H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| TCU O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| Spread -10.5 | 91% |
| Spread -13.5 | 91% |
| Spread -16.5 | 91% |
| Spread -31.5 | 91% |
| Spread -34.5 | 91% |
| Spread -29.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -22.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -23.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -25.5 | 91% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -12.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -15.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| 2H Moneyline | 10% |
| Grambling State O/U 8.5 | 10% |
| Grambling State O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Grambling State O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| Grambling State 2H O/U 0.5 | 10% |
| Grambling State 2H O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Grambling State 2H O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Grambling State O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Grambling State O/U 13.5 | 5% |
| O/U 72.5 | 1% |
| O/U 74.5 | 1% |
| Grambling State vs. TCU | 0% |
| O/U 70.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -57.5 | 0% |
| Spread -58.5 | 0% |
| Spread -60.5 | 0% |
| Spread -61.5 | 0% |
| Spread -64.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -29.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| TCU 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| TCU 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Grambling State vs. TCU — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Grambling State and TCU, scheduled for September 12 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Grambling State" if Grambling State win the game. This mark…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $151K.
Methodology
We track Grambling State vs. TCU across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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