Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Mississippi State O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State vs. Minnesota | 97% |
| Spread -4.5 | 88% |
| Spread -1.5 | 83% |
| O/U 51.5 | 78% |
| Spread -5.5 | 77% |
| Spread -10.5 | 77% |
| Spread -9.5 | 76% |
| O/U 54.5 | 70% |
| Spread -2.5 | 66% |
| Spread -14.5 | 64% |
| O/U 53.5 | 55% |
| Spread -17.5 | 54% |
| O/U 55.5 | 53% |
| Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| O/U 45.5 | 51% |
| O/U 63.5 | 51% |
| Mississippi State O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Mississippi State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Darius Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Fluff Bothwell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Anthony Evans III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kamario Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| TJ Thomas Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Javon Tracy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zion Ragins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sanfrisco Magee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Drake Lindsey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Noah Jennings: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sam West: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Pierce Walsh: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Kolin Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Xavier Gayten: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Niko Castillo: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Joeseph Skipworth: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marquis Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hayden Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaden Helms: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ayden Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zion Steptoe: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gracen Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Spread -5.5 | 46% |
| Spread -16.5 | 43% |
| Spread -13.5 | 39% |
| Spread -21.5 | 39% |
| Spread -22.5 | 39% |
| Spread -20.5 | 35% |
| Spread -24.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Spread -31.5 | 30% |
| O/U 69.5 | 26% |
| Spread -34.5 | 25% |
| Spread -1.5 | 24% |
| Spread -2.5 | 2% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Mississippi State vs. Minnesota prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Mississippi State and Minnesota, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the gam…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $101K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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