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North Carolina State vs. Virginia

How the prediction-market book is pricing "North Carolina State vs. Virginia" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1Q Spread -1.5 100% 1Q Spread -2.5 100% 1Q Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $236K Liquidity: $514K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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North Carolina State vs. Virginia

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -3.599%
1H Spread -4.599%
Spread -1.594%
Spread -2.593%
Spread -3.592%
Spread: Virginia (-5.5)90%
Spread -6.589%
Spread -4.588%
Spread -7.586%
O/U 33.585%
Spread -10.577%
Spread -13.574%
1H Spread -2.570%
Spread -14.569%
Spread -16.568%
O/U 39.565%
Spread -17.557%
Spread -20.552%
O/U 55.552%
2Q Spread -2.552%
2Q Spread -3.552%
O/U 53.551%
O/U 57.551%
North Carolina State 1H O/U 10.551%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -27.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 35.550%
O/U 37.550%
O/U 41.550%
O/U 43.550%
O/U 47.550%
O/U 49.550%
O/U 59.550%
O/U 61.550%
O/U 65.550%
O/U 67.550%
O/U 71.550%
O/U 73.550%
1H Spread -0.550%
1H Spread -1.550%
1H Moneyline50%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
North Carolina State O/U 17.550%
North Carolina State O/U 20.550%
North Carolina State O/U 23.550%
North Carolina State O/U 26.550%
North Carolina State O/U 29.550%
Virginia O/U 22.550%
Virginia O/U 25.550%
Virginia O/U 28.550%
Virginia O/U 31.550%
Virginia O/U 34.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Virginia 1H O/U 11.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 13.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 15.550%
North Carolina State 1H O/U 8.550%
North Carolina State 1H O/U 12.550%
Virginia 2H O/U 11.550%
Virginia 2H O/U 13.550%
Virginia 2H O/U 15.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 10.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 12.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 14.550%
North Carolina State 1H O/U 14.550%
Virginia O/U 21.550%
Virginia O/U 24.550%
Virginia O/U 27.550%
Virginia O/U 30.550%
Virginia O/U 33.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 12.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 14.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 16.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 9.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 11.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 13.550%
O/U 50.550%
O/U 32.550%
O/U 34.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 8.550%
3Q Spread -2.549%
4Q Spread -2.549%
Spread -21.548%
2H Spread -2.548%
O/U 63.547%
2H Spread -3.547%
3Q Spread -3.547%
4Q Spread -3.547%
2H Spread -4.540%
O/U 45.539%
Spread -24.537%
O/U 69.533%
O/U 51.521%
O/U 52.520%
North Carolina State vs. Virginia6%

Market context

The North Carolina State vs. Virginia prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 29 at 3:30PM ET: If North Carolina State wins, the market will resolve to "North Carolina State". If Virginia wins, the market will resolve …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Spread -0.5 at 100% for "North Carolina State vs. Virginia".

1Q Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $236K.

Methodology

We track North Carolina State vs. Virginia across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports