Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 86% |
| O/U 34.5 | 83% |
| O/U 36.5 | 82% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 77% |
| O/U 38.5 | 76% |
| Texas O/U 18.5 | 75% |
| Ohio State O/U 18.5 | 74% |
| Ohio State O/U 17.5 | 74% |
| Texas O/U 19.5 | 73% |
| O/U 40.5 | 72% |
| O/U 42.5 | 72% |
| Texas O/U 2.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| 2H Moneyline | 67% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 67% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 67% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 67% |
| Ohio State O/U 20.5 | 66% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 64% |
| O/U 44.5 | 63% |
| Texas O/U 21.5 | 63% |
| Ohio State O/U 21.5 | 62% |
| Texas O/U 22.5 | 61% |
| O/U 46.5 | 60% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 59% |
| O/U 47.5 | 58% |
| Ohio State O/U 2.5 | 57% |
| Bo Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Ohio State O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| O/U 48.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| Spread: Texas (-1.5) | 52% |
| Devin McCuin: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Isaiah West: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Texas 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Chris Henry Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brandon Inniss: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Derrek Cooper: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Julian Sayin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James Simon: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nate Roberts: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mason Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hunter Welcing: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kyle Parker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Townsend: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brock Boyd: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 49% |
| 1H Moneyline | 49% |
| Texas 1H O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Texas O/U 25.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 48% |
| Ohio State O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Ohio State vs. Texas | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| O/U 52.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| Ohio State O/U 26.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| Texas O/U 27.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| O/U 54.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Ohio State O/U 27.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Texas O/U 28.5 | 37% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| O/U 56.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| Texas O/U 30.5 | 32% |
| Ohio State O/U 29.5 | 32% |
| Ohio State O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| O/U 58.5 | 30% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| Jeremiah Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 29% |
| Ohio State O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 27% |
| O/U 60.5 | 26% |
| Texas O/U 31.5 | 26% |
| Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| O/U 62.5 | 23% |
| Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| O/U 64.5 | 20% |
| Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| Spread -12.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| Spread -27.5 | 17% |
| Ja'Kobi Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 17% |
| O/U 66.5 | 16% |
| Spread -11.5 | 16% |
| Legend Bey: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| O/U 68.5 | 14% |
| Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Spread -12.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -24.5 | 13% |
| Spread -15.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| Spread -34.5 | 10% |
| Spread -15.5 | 10% |
| Spread -18.5 | 9% |
| Spread -31.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -18.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| Spread -22.5 | 5% |
Market context
Market consensus: 94% chance of ohio state vs. texas. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and Texas, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game. Th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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