Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 | 88% |
| O/U 39.5 | 86% |
| O/U 41.5 | 82% |
| O/U 43.5 | 79% |
| O/U 45.5 | 73% |
| Hawai'i O/U 20.5 | 73% |
| UNLV O/U 22.5 | 73% |
| O/U 47.5 | 70% |
| UNLV O/U 23.5 | 70% |
| Hawai'i O/U 21.5 | 66% |
| O/U 49.5 | 64% |
| Hawai'i O/U 23.5 | 62% |
| UNLV O/U 25.5 | 62% |
| O/U 51.5 | 60% |
| UNLV O/U 26.5 | 60% |
| UNLV vs. Hawai'i | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 1H Moneyline | 56% |
| Hawai'i O/U 24.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Hawai'i O/U 26.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Cam Barfield: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Micah Alejado: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| DeAngelo Irvin Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Taeshaun Lyons: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Darrien Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Diezel Kamoku: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Peyton Zachary: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| UNLV O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Hawai'i O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jai'Den Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Arnold: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Blaze Kamoku: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tama Uiliata: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylon Glover: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DeVon Rice: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Devin Alves: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kayden McGee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Audric Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keyan Burnett: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Taz Reddicks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tavian McNair: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tre Griffiths: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kainoa Carvalho: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Byrnes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| UNLV O/U 28.5 | 49% |
| UNLV O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| O/U 56.5 | 46% |
| Spread -27.5 | 46% |
| Hawai'i O/U 27.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| O/U 57.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| Spread: UNLV (-3.5) | 43% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| O/U 58.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| O/U 59.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| Hawai'i O/U 29.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| UNLV O/U 32.5 | 37% |
| UNLV O/U 31.5 | 37% |
| O/U 61.5 | 36% |
| Hawai'i O/U 30.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| Hawai'i O/U 32.5 | 30% |
| UNLV O/U 34.5 | 30% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Hawai'i O/U 33.5 | 28% |
| O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| UNLV O/U 35.5 | 26% |
| O/U 67.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| O/U 69.5 | 20% |
| Spread -16.5 | 17% |
| O/U 71.5 | 17% |
| Spread -17.5 | 15% |
| O/U 73.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| O/U 75.5 | 11% |
| O/U 77.5 | 9% |
| Spread -24.5 | 8% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 88% probability to unlv vs. hawai'i. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00PM ET: If UNLV wins, the market will resolve to "UNLV". If Hawai'i wins, the market will resolve to "Hawai'i". If the game is p…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $271K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade UNLV vs. Hawai'i on Who Will Win 2026
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