Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Henan FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Henan FC meet Dalian Yingbo FC in the Chinese Super League, and the **0% YES** crowd price on extra markets implies the market thinks there is essentially no edge in expecting a meaningful surprise on the secondary bets around this fixture. That is a strong fade of volatility rather than a view that either side is dominant; on recent league data, Dalian have been the slightly stronger side overall, sitting on 28 points to Henan’s 21 in the 2026 table snapshot, so the consensus lean is towards Dalian being the more reliable favourite[12][18].
The historical frame is mixed enough to make a flat 0% read look aggressive. Dalian have taken three of the last five head-to-heads in one recent sample, while another record shows Henan edging the broader series; the latest league meeting in April finished 2-1 to Dalian, but Henan also beat Dalian 4-0 in 2025 and the clubs drew 1-1 in one recent comparison set[1][3][12][14]. For a handicapper, that points to a market consensus around Dalian’s slightly better base case, while the contrarian value on “more markets” sits with outcomes tied to game-state swings, cards or late goals rather than a simple side play, especially given the split H2H profile and modest goal differentials[12][15][18].
The main catalysts to watch are team selection, late injury or rotation news, and whether either club treats the match as a priority amid the compressed league calendar; those factors matter more than reputation here because the underlying numbers are close and both teams have been producing mixed recent form[12][18]. Sofascore lists the fixture at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, and the market should be sensitive to any late confirmation of line-ups or tactical rotation once those are posted closer to kick-off[9][6].
Methodology
This page reviews Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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