The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

The Hundred women’s match between London Spirit and Manchester Super Giants at Lord’s has already been settled on the field, and the market’s **0% YES** price is directionally consistent with a one-sided result rather than a live contest. Manchester Super Giants beat London Spirit by **seven wickets**, after bowling Spirit out for **80** and completing the chase with ease, so the post-match consensus is firmly against any upside in a YES position.[1][2][3]

For handicapper framing, this is the sort of line where the favourite was not just ahead on paper but backed it up immediately: Manchester Super Giants’ bowling unit controlled the game, with Kapp’s spell and Ryana MacDonald-Gay’s four wickets defining the low-scoring match.[1][2] Comparable short-format women’s fixtures can swing on one collapse, but once a side is restricted to 80 in The Hundred, the market usually compresses hard towards the winner; any value angle would have sat pre-match on a contrarian Spirit bounce-back rather than after a completed seven-wicket defeat.[1][4]

The main catalyst for any trader was the finalised scorecard and match report published after the game, because this market resolves strictly on the official result as recorded by ESPNcricinfo.[1] Lord’s had the fixture listed for 23 July at 15:00, but there is no live scheduling uncertainty now; DLS, walkover, or tie-break questions are irrelevant unless the official score changes, which the published report does not suggest.[7][1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.