The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

The Hundred’s women’s match between MI London and Manchester Super Giants has already gone the way of the visitors, and that is the key context behind the market’s 0% YES price: the live scorecards and reports show Manchester Super Giants won by eight wickets, with MI London bowled out for 92 and the chase completed with 28 balls to spare.[2][3] For a handicapper, that leaves no room for a second-guess on the settlement logic unless the market is being priced before final publication; on the published result, the consensus is fully one-sided and the fair view is effectively closed.[2][3]

Comparable recent results also support the same reading. Manchester Super Giants opened the competition with a seven-wicket win over London Spirit, then beat Sunrisers Leeds by four wickets, while MI London came into this fixture with a poor early record and a negative net run-rate, which is exactly the profile of an underdog that needs a clean batting performance to threaten a stronger opponent.[4][7][8][11] The market’s value, if any, would have sat on a contrarian upset only before play, but the completed scoreline means that angle has already been tested and failed in line with the broader form guide.[2][4][11]

The main catalysts traders would normally watch in a Hundred women’s market are the toss, confirmed XIs, venue conditions and any late schedule changes, because short-format cricket can move quickly on a batting-friendly pitch or under interruptions.[1][3] Here, the decisive signals were already visible early: Manchester Super Giants won the toss and chose to field at the Kia Oval, then controlled the chase from the outset.[1][3] ESPN’s live and post-match pages now show the finalised result, so there is no remaining on-field dependency that would alter settlement under the market rules.[2][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.