Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs ALGO Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: ALGO (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
ALGO Esports face Omega in a best-of-three Counter-Strike encounter within the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B, scheduled for 24 May at 1:00 PM ET. The current crowd-implied probability sits at 0% for ALGO victory, suggesting either overwhelming consensus that Omega will prevail or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful market price. Settlement closes at 23:00 UTC on the same date, allowing a 22-hour window from match start to completion.
The 0% reading warrants scrutiny against typical European Counter-Strike competitive dynamics. ALGO Esports and Omega occupy different tiers within the regional circuit; comparable group-stage matchups in Thunderpick events have historically seen favourites priced between 55–75% depending on recent form and roster stability. A complete absence of backing for ALGO suggests either a significant skill gap or market participants viewing the fixture as a foregone conclusion. Without recent head-to-head records or current roster changes publicly confirmed, traders should verify whether this reflects genuine dominance or simply thin order books in an early-stage tournament.
Catalysts affecting settlement include roster confirmations closer to the event date, any last-minute substitutions, and technical disruptions common to online European tournaments. The seven-day delay clause creates ambiguity if matches are rescheduled; traders should monitor Thunderpick's official schedule and both teams' social media for announcements. Fixture congestion during group stages occasionally produces unexpected upsets when teams field stand-ins or face fatigue from back-to-back matches.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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