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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Live odds for "Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Map 2 Winner 52% O/U 2.5 Games 50% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) 50% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) 50% Volume: $334K Liquidity: $101K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner52%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Match Winner38%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.526%
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)25%
Map 1 Winner21%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: alliance vs team nemesis (bo3) - xse pro league playoffs stands at 52% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Alliance and Team Nemesis in the XSE Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 7:00AM ET. This m…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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