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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win 2026.

Map 2 Winner 61% Match Winner 59% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs PRIVATE (+3.5) 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $109K Closes: 20 Oct 2026
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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner61%
Match Winner59%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs PRIVATE (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Winner48%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.546%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs PRIVATE (+3.5)45%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs PRIVATE (+3.5)38%
Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs PRIVATE (+1.5)33%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 61% probability to counter-strike: alliance vs private (bo3) - 1win private club playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Round 1 match between Alliance and PRIVATE in the 1win Private Club Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This marke…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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