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Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 91% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5) 90% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5) 90% Volume: $53K Liquidity: $607K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.591%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs BESTIA (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Imperial (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-9.5) vs BESTIA (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-9.5) vs BESTIA (+9.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Imperial (+1.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: bestia vs imperial (bo3) - thunderpick world championship south american series #2 playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between BESTIA and Imperial in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs, initially scheduled …

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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