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Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 68% Match Winner 68% Map 2 Winner 61% Map Handicap: EYE (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5) 50% Volume: $124K Liquidity: $80K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner68%
Match Winner68%
Map 2 Winner61%
Map Handicap: EYE (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)50%
Map Handicap: DENDELE CS (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-6.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 68% probability to counter-strike: dendele cs vs eyeballers (bo3) - iem beijing: global qualifier playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between DENDELE CS and EYEBALLERS in the IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00 …

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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