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Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 61% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5) 50% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5) 48% Volume: $102K Liquidity: $244K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.561%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)48%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)42%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)42%
Map 2 Winner40%
Match Winner34%
Map 1 Winner33%

Market context

Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage — current market-implied probability: 61%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between EYEBALLERS and Team Nemesis in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 4 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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