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Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win 2026.

Map 1 Winner 52% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $468K Liquidity: $487K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner52%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Match Winner48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)47%
Map 2 Winner45%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)35%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)34%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)33%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)26%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: m80 vs nip (bo3) - blast bounty qualifier stands at 52% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between M80 and NIP in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 21 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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