Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The MongolZ meet B8 in a best-of-three at the CS Asia Championships group stage, with the market currently implying 0% for The MongolZ and therefore making B8 the heavy consensus side. On pure match-up history, that looks hard to square with the recent head-to-head record: the teams have already played a BO3 at this event, where The MongolZ won 2-1 on Mirage, Nuke and Ancient, and they came in as the higher-ranked side in that meeting. That kind of prior result usually matters in a short series, especially when the map pool has already shown it can stretch to three maps. The contrarian angle is that B8 have shown enough upset ability in compact formats to keep the underdog case alive, but the price suggests the market is already leaning heavily against a repeat.

For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: whether the series starts on time, whether the event schedule slips, and whether the final map veto resembles the earlier matchup. Dust2.us and the event’s live listings point to this being a scheduled group-stage winners’ match, so there is no obvious structural reason for a late change, but any timetable disruption matters because settlement only flips to 50-50 if the match is not played or is delayed too far. If the expected line-up and map order hold, The MongolZ remain the side with the stronger form case, while value on B8 would rely on the market overreacting to one-sided consensus and underweighting the previous BO3 result.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.