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Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs BakS eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #5 Group B

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs BakS eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #5 Group B" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win 2026.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Map 2 Winner 69% O/U 2.5 Games 50% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $118K Liquidity: $127K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs BakS eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #5 Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Winner69%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BakS eSports (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BakS eSports (-6.5) vs Misa Esports (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map Handicap: BAKS (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)39%
Match Winner31%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BakS eSports (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BakS eSports (-6.5) vs Misa Esports (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 90% probability to counter-strike: misa esports vs baks esports (bo3) - esl challenger league europe cup #5 group b. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Misa Esports and BakS eSports in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #5 Group B, initially scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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