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Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) 51% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 49% O/U 2.5 Games 46% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $492K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)46%
Map 1 Winner42%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)41%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)39%
Map 2 Winner36%
Match Winner34%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.534%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: parivision vs furia (bo3) - fissure playground group b stands at 51% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between PARIVISION and FURIA in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 a…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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