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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 85% Game 2 Winner 78% Game 1 Winner 76% Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) 60% Volume: $263K Liquidity: $151K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner85%
Game 2 Winner78%
Game 1 Winner76%
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)60%
Ends in Daytime51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?49%
Both Teams Beat Roshan48%
O/U 2.5 Games37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Rampage26%
Any Player Rampage26%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: parivision vs lgd gaming (bo3) - blast slam group a stands at 85% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Winner match between PARIVISION and LGD Gaming in the BLAST Slam Group A, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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