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Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5) 61% Both Teams Beat Roshan 52% Any Player Ultra Kill 52% Any Player Rampage 52% Volume: $82K Liquidity: $175K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)61%
Both Teams Beat Roshan52%
Any Player Ultra Kill52%
Any Player Rampage52%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?42%
O/U 2.5 Games35%
Both Teams Beat Roshan31%
Both Teams Beat Roshan31%
Any Player Ultra Kill27%
Any Player Ultra Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks23%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks23%
Game 2 Winner22%
Game 1 Winner21%
Match Winner14%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage14%

Market context

The Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage prediction market currently prices this outcome at 61% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Resilience and Team Yandex in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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