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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Ends in Daytime 51% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 48% O/U 2.5 Games 47% Ends in Daytime 47% Volume: $236K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?48%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Ends in Daytime47%
Ends in Daytime47%
First Blood in Game 1?47%
Both Teams Beat Roshan46%
First Blood in Game 2?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?46%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)41%
Game 2 Winner39%
Game 1 Winner37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks34%
Match Winner32%
Any Player Ultra Kill26%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Any Player Ultra Kill25%
Any Player Ultra Kill24%
Any Player Rampage16%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage14%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 51% probability to dota 2: team yandex vs team spirit (bo3) - the international playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market w…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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