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Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Manchester City 53% Any Other Score 50% Arsenal FC 3 - 2 Manchester City 24% Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Manchester City 19% Volume: $146K Liquidity: $408K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Manchester City53%
Any Other Score50%
Arsenal FC 3 - 2 Manchester City24%
Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Manchester City19%
Arsenal FC 3 - 3 Manchester City15%
Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Manchester City0%
Arsenal FC 0 - 1 Manchester City0%
Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Manchester City0%
Arsenal FC 0 - 2 Manchester City0%
Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Manchester City0%
Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Manchester City0%
Arsenal FC 0 - 3 Manchester City0%
Arsenal FC 1 - 2 Manchester City0%
Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Manchester City0%
Arsenal FC 1 - 3 Manchester City0%
Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Manchester City0%
Arsenal FC 2 - 3 Manchester City0%

Market context

The Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - Exact Score prediction market currently prices this outcome at 53% YES. In the upcoming FA Community Shield game between Arsenal FC and Manchester City, scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Arsenal FC vs. M…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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