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Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win 2026.

O/U 0.5 95% Arsenal FC O/U 0.5 87% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 79% O/U 1.5 78% Volume: $109K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
Arsenal FC O/U 0.587%
2nd Half O/U 0.579%
O/U 1.578%
1st Half O/U 0.572%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 0.567%
Arsenal FC O/U 1.559%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 0.559%
Aston Villa FC O/U 0.557%
O/U 2.553%
Both Teams to Score51%
2nd Half O/U 1.547%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 1.547%
Aston Villa FC 2nd Half O/U 0.538%
Arsenal FC (-1.5)37%
1st Half O/U 1.535%
O/U 3.531%
Arsenal FC O/U 2.531%
Aston Villa FC 1st Half O/U 0.530%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
Aston Villa FC O/U 1.521%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 1.521%
2nd Half O/U 2.520%
Arsenal FC (-2.5)19%
Both Teams to Score in First Half19%
O/U 4.516%
1st Half O/U 2.513%
O/U 5.57%
Aston Villa FC 2nd Half O/U 1.57%
Aston Villa FC O/U 2.56%
Aston Villa FC 1st Half O/U 1.55%
Aston Villa FC (-1.5)4%
Aston Villa FC (-2.5)1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 95% probability to aston villa fc vs. arsenal fc - more markets. More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for August 31 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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