Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Liverpool FC 0 - 0 Fulham FC | 100% |
| Liverpool FC 0 - 1 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 1 - 0 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 0 - 2 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 2 - 0 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 0 - 3 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 1 - 2 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 2 - 1 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 3 - 0 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 1 - 3 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 2 - 2 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 3 - 1 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 2 - 3 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 3 - 2 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 3 - 3 Fulham FC | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of liverpool fc vs. fulham fc - exact score. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming Premier League game between Liverpool FC and Fulham FC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Li…
Methodology
We track Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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