F1: Action of the Year

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The FIA will award its 2026 Action of the Year at the end of the Formula 1 season, and the market is pricing that outcome at just 4% YES, making it a clear long-shot rather than a front-runner. In handicapper terms, the favourite on the board is the most likely single driver to take the award, but the wider field remains fragmented and the value case tends to sit with drivers who generate repeated highlight-reel moments rather than simply the best championship finish. Recent Polymarket pricing on this award has shown trader consensus clustering around Kimi Antonelli and Franco Colapinto, with Nico Hülkenberg and Isack Hadjar also drawing meaningful support, which suggests the market is rewarding overtaking skill, close combat and memorable racecraft more than raw points.

Comparable FIA-endorsed awards are usually decided by a small number of viral or technically outstanding moments rather than season-long consistency, so the market can move sharply if one driver builds a late narrative. The FIA has said the 2026 technical rules should initially create larger gaps before convergence later in the cycle, and Motorsport reported on 21 May that FIA single-seater director Nikolas Tombazis expects the internal combustion engine to be the main differentiator at first. If that proves true, early-season races could create more overtaking opportunities, mechanical variability and standout moves, which would matter for a vote-based award.

Traders should watch three catalysts: the shape of the 2026 calendar, any FIA communications on award criteria, and which drivers produce widely circulated moments at race weekends. The settlement window runs to 13 December 2026, so late-season form still matters, but the award will ultimately depend on the official FIA decision rather than popular momentum alone. If multiple candidates collect similar highlight portfolios, the tie-break rules and alphabetical fallback become relevant, which gives a modest edge to names that stay in the conversation until the very end.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews F1: Action of the Year across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.