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Switzerland vs. Algeria - Exact Score

Five-platform snapshot of "Switzerland vs. Algeria - Exact Score" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria 14% Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria 14% Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria 11% Switzerland 0 - 0 Algeria 10% Volume: $175K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Switzerland vs. Algeria - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
14% 86% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
14% 86% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria14%
Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria14%
Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria11%
Switzerland 0 - 0 Algeria10%
Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria10%
Any Other Score8%
Switzerland 0 - 1 Algeria8%
Switzerland 1 - 2 Algeria7%
Switzerland 2 - 2 Algeria6%
Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria5%
Switzerland 3 - 1 Algeria5%
Switzerland 3 - 2 Algeria3%
Switzerland 0 - 2 Algeria3%
Switzerland 1 - 3 Algeria2%
Switzerland 2 - 3 Algeria2%
Switzerland 3 - 3 Algeria1%
Switzerland 0 - 3 Algeria1%

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup Round of 32 clash between Switzerland and Algeria, set for 11:00 PM ET on 2 July 2026, pits a defensively organised European side against an African team with a history of knockout-stage resilience. Switzerland enters as the clear favourite, backed by a recent 4-1 victory over Bosnia and a solid 1-1 draw with Qatar, while Algeria, having qualified for the World Cup for the fifth time in 2026, faces a tougher path after a high-scoring 3-3 group match against Austria. The market’s 5% crowd-implied probability for an exact score outcome suggests the consensus expects a low-scoring, unpredictable affair where any specific result is unlikely.

Historically, matches between well-structured European defences and African sides in the knockout rounds often end in narrow margins, with exact scores like 1-0 or 1-1 representing rare value spots when the implied probability sits below 10%. Switzerland’s defensive record, which has seen few goals conceded and strong underlying numbers, aligns with their reputation as a side that rarely gives much away, making high-scoring exact outcomes even less probable. Contrarian angles might favour exact scores involving a single goal for Switzerland, such as 1-0, if the market continues to undervalue their defensive stability.

Traders should monitor final lineup announcements and any late injury updates, as Switzerland’s reliance on key defenders could shift the probability of exact scores if starters are absent. Recent previews from ESPN and Fox Sports confirm the odds favour Switzerland at -120 moneyline, with the over/under set at 2.5 goals, indicating expectations for a tight contest. The settlement window ends at 03:00 UTC on 3 July 2026, and any postponement will keep the market open until completion, so real-time match updates remain critical for assessing value in exact score outcomes.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Switzerland vs. Algeria - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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