Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

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Market context

Haiti and Scotland meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 0% implied probability, reflecting the inherent difficulty in predicting precise final tallies across thousands of possible scorelines. Settlement captures the 90-minute result plus stoppage time only, excluding extra time and penalties.

Exact-score markets in football typically see consensus clustering around the most common outcomes: 1–0, 2–1, 1–1, and 2–0 results account for roughly 40–50% of all matches across major competitions. Haiti's World Cup qualification record and Scotland's recent form will shape baseline expectations. Scotland qualified for the 2022 World Cup but exited the group stage; Haiti has not qualified since 1974. The gap in competitive experience and squad depth suggests Scotland enters as clear favourites, which usually skews exact-score probabilities toward narrow Scottish victories rather than draws or high-scoring affairs.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates as the tournament approaches, particularly Scotland's availability of key attacking and defensive personnel. Fixture congestion in the group stage—with matches compressed into tight scheduling windows—can influence fatigue levels and tactical conservatism. Recent World Cup tournaments have seen defensive solidity increase under pressure, favouring lower-scoring outcomes. The 0% current probability likely reflects the sheer number of possible scorelines rather than genuine consensus that no specific outcome will occur; value may exist in backing modest Scottish wins (1–0 or 2–0) if pre-tournament odds on those individual lines drift wider than their historical frequency suggests.

Methodology

This page reviews Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Who Will Win 2026 — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win 2026?

Zero. Who Will Win 2026 routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win 2026 triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.