Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result

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Market context

Haiti and Scotland meet in a World Cup group stage fixture on 13 June 2026, with the halftime result market currently priced at 0% for a Haiti victory in the opening 45 minutes. The match kicks off at 9:00 PM ET, settling six hours later at 01:00 UTC on 14 June. Scotland enters as heavy favourites on the basis of FIFA ranking disparity—they sit around 40th globally whilst Haiti ranks approximately 80th—and recent competitive history suggests a wide gulf in technical execution and match control.

Halftime markets in World Cup fixtures typically reflect early tactical dominance rather than full-match outcomes. Scotland's recent form includes qualification through UEFA playoffs and consistent competitive play in European fixtures, whereas Haiti's path to Qatar 2022 saw them eliminated in CONCACAF qualifying, though they've since competed in Copa América preliminaries. Early-stage goals in World Cup matches occur at measurable rates; approximately 30% of group-stage matches see a goal before half-time, with favourites scoring first in roughly 60% of such cases. The 0% probability on Haiti halftime victory suggests the market has priced in Scotland's superiority with near-certainty, leaving minimal room for an upset scenario.

Traders should monitor team news releases through early June regarding injuries to Scotland's midfield or attack, as absences could affect their ability to dominate possession and create chances. Haiti's defensive shape and counter-attacking setup will be critical; if they can remain compact and exploit set-piece opportunities, the halftime scoreline could remain closer than the current pricing implies. Weather conditions at the venue and final squad confirmations typically emerge 48 hours pre-match.

Methodology

This page reviews Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Who Will Win 2026 — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win 2026 triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.