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Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

2nd Half O/U 0.5 79% O/U 0.5 76% Sevilla FC O/U 0.5 62% Valencia CF O/U 0.5 59% Volume: $398K Liquidity: $499K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
2nd Half O/U 0.579%
O/U 0.576%
Sevilla FC O/U 0.562%
Valencia CF O/U 0.559%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half57%
2nd Half O/U 1.554%
Sevilla FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Sevilla FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Valencia CF 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Valencia CF 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Sevilla FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Valencia CF 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
O/U 1.541%
Both Teams to Score40%
Valencia CF 2nd Half (-1.5)39%
2nd Half O/U 2.526%
Sevilla FC O/U 1.522%
Sevilla FC 2nd Half (-1.5)19%
Valencia CF O/U 1.517%
O/U 2.513%
Sevilla FC O/U 2.513%
Valencia CF O/U 2.513%
Sevilla FC (-1.5)10%
Valencia CF (-2.5)10%
Valencia CF (-1.5)9%
O/U 3.54%
O/U 4.54%
Sevilla FC (-2.5)2%
O/U 5.52%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Sevilla FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Sevilla FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Valencia CF 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Valencia CF 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Sevilla FC 1st Half (-2.5)0%
Sevilla FC 1st Half (-1.5)0%
Valencia CF 1st Half (-2.5)0%
Valencia CF 1st Half (-1.5)0%

Market context

The Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 79% YES. More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for September 11 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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