How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playof… | Whowillwin2026

Name: LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs
Start: 2026-08-18T03:00:26.000Z
End: 2026-08-19T05:10:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	See live odds →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	See live odds →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	See live odds →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	See live odds →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Game 3 Winner	100%
Game 4 Winner	100%
O/U 3.5 Games	100%
O/U 4.5 Games	100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	90%
Odd/Even Total Kills	90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	51%
Any Player Quadra Kill	50%
Any Player Penta Kill	50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	50%
Any Player Quadra Kill	50%
Any Player Penta Kill	50%
Odd/Even Total Kills	50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	50%
Any Player Quadra Kill	50%
Any Player Penta Kill	50%
Odd/Even Total Kills	50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	50%
Any Player Quadra Kill	50%
Any Player Penta Kill	50%
Odd/Even Total Kills	50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	50%
Any Player Quadra Kill	50%
Any Player Penta Kill	50%
Odd/Even Total Kills	50%
Match Winner	48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	10%
Game 1 Winner	0%
Game 2 Winner	0%
Game Handicap: 3V (-1.5) vs Kits Esports (+1.5)	0%
Game Handicap: 3V (-2.5) vs Kits Esports (+2.5)	0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: kits esports vs 3v team (bo5) - lrn playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Kits Esports and 3v Team in the LRN Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This marke…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporterand

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs on Who Will Win 2026

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