LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

PCIFIC and Forsaken are scheduled to contest a League of Legends best-of-three match in EMEA Masters Group B on 10 June at 2:00 PM ET. The market is currently priced at 100% for PCIFIC, implying zero probability of a Forsaken victory or match cancellation. Settlement occurs at 22:55 UTC on the same day, allowing a 20-hour window for the fixture to conclude.

EMEA Masters Group B matches have historically seen fixture delays and cancellations owing to player availability conflicts and regional qualifier scheduling. The 100% probability assigned to PCIFIC suggests either overwhelming confidence in their superiority or, more likely, reflects the market's treatment of Forsaken as an extremely weak opponent. Without recent head-to-head records or roster strength comparisons publicly available, the extreme skew warrants scrutiny—consensus markets occasionally misprice underdogs when limited information circulates about challenger teams in secondary regional competitions.

Traders should monitor EMEA Masters official announcements for any schedule adjustments or roster changes in the 48 hours before match time. Forsaken's recent performance in qualifying rounds and any last-minute substitutions would shift the underlying matchup dynamics. The 7-day delay clause creates a secondary resolution risk; if technical issues or organisational problems postpone the match beyond 17 June without completion, the market settles 50-50 regardless of current odds. Confirmation of both teams' readiness and the broadcast schedule from Riot's regional partners remains the critical catalyst before settlement.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Who Will Win 2026 is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win 2026 triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.