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LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win 2026.

Match Winner 86% Game 1 Winner 77% Game 2 Winner 76% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 67% Volume: $163K Liquidity: $927K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner86%
Game 1 Winner77%
Game 2 Winner76%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon67%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon67%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)60%
First Blood in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
First Blood in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?41%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?37%
O/U 2.5 Games35%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 86% YES probability for LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 1 match between T1 and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 18 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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