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LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

First Blood in Game 1? 54% First Blood in Game 2? 54% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 54% Any Player Penta Kill 51% Volume: $84K Liquidity: $261K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
First Blood in Game 1?54%
First Blood in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?54%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill49%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?47%
O/U 2.5 Games45%
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)40%
Game 1 Winner39%
Game 2 Winner39%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?37%
Match Winner33%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: team heretics vs giantx (bo3) - lec regular season stands at 54% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Team Heretics and GIANTX in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

We track LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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