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LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Odd/Even Total Kills 90% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $376K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Game 4 Winner75%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game 3 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 3.5 Games0%
O/U 4.5 Games0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%

Market context

Team Solid and RMD Gaming will contest the lower bracket final of the Circuito Desafiante Play-In, a regional League of Legends qualifier for Latin American teams. The best-of-five match was scheduled for 12 August at 4:00 PM ET, with the settlement window closing 13 August at 02:00 UTC. The 0% implied probability on Team Solid victory suggests either a technical issue with market initialisation or an extraordinarily confident consensus backing RMD Gaming.

The Circuito Desafiante serves as a secondary pathway into regional competition, typically attracting mid-tier rosters and emerging talent. Historical context matters here: lower bracket finals in regional qualifiers frequently produce closer contests than seeding suggests, particularly when teams have already demonstrated resilience by reaching that stage. Team Solid's presence in the final indicates they've won at least two matches to arrive there; RMD Gaming's path is identical. A 0% probability on either finalist is unusual unless one team has withdrawn or suffered a documented roster collapse between market creation and the scheduled date.

Traders should monitor official Circuito Desafiante communications for any roster changes, player substitutions, or scheduling delays that might emerge before 12 August. The settlement window's seven-day grace period (extending to 19 August) provides buffer for fixture postponements, though regional qualifiers typically maintain strict schedules. Any announcement regarding player availability, technical issues, or format changes would shift the underlying match dynamics materially. The current probability distribution warrants scrutiny against recent team performance data and head-to-head records, if available through regional league sources.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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