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LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 62% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 57% Volume: $57K Liquidity: $289K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?57%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?57%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)56%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?46%
First Blood in Game 2?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?41%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?40%
O/U 2.5 Games37%
Any Player Quadra Kill30%
Any Player Quadra Kill30%
Game 2 Winner28%
Game 1 Winner27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Match Winner19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: team vitality vs g2 esports (bo3) - lec regular season stands at 65% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Team Vitality and G2 Esports in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 25 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tea…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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