Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Browns O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Browns 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Browns O/U 16.5 | 99% |
| Browns O/U 17.5 | 99% |
| O/U 37.5 | 99% |
| Browns O/U 11.5 | 99% |
| Browns O/U 20.5 | 99% |
| Browns O/U 23.5 | 99% |
| 1Q O/U 0.5 | 99% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 99% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 99% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 99% |
| Browns 1H O/U 8.5 | 99% |
| Browns 1H O/U 10.5 | 99% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 21+ | 50% |
| Patriots Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Browns Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Patriots vs. Browns: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Patriots vs. Browns: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Patriots 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Patriots 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Patriots 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Patriots O/U 18.5 | 1% |
| Patriots O/U 19.5 | 1% |
| Spread -4.5 | 1% |
| O/U 51.5 | 1% |
| O/U 53.5 | 1% |
| Patriots O/U 13.5 | 1% |
| Patriots O/U 16.5 | 1% |
| Patriots O/U 22.5 | 1% |
| Patriots O/U 25.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 1% |
| 2H Moneyline | 1% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 1% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 1% |
| 2H O/U 10.5 | 1% |
| 2H O/U 13.5 | 1% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 1% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 1% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 1% |
| Patriots vs. Browns | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Patriots vs. Browns. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 0% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-08-28T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $93K.
Methodology
We track Patriots vs. Browns across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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