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Steelers vs. Bills

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Steelers vs. Bills" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win 2026.

O/U 17.5 95% O/U 23.5 86% O/U 25.5 80% O/U 31.5 76% Volume: $203K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 27 Aug 2026
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Steelers vs. Bills

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 17.595%
O/U 23.586%
O/U 25.580%
O/U 31.576%
O/U 29.573%
O/U 33.561%
O/U 34.556%
O/U 21.555%
O/U 45.555%
O/U 27.553%
O/U 35.552%
Spread -0.552%
O/U 15.551%
O/U 19.551%
1H O/U 18.551%
Bills O/U 13.551%
1H O/U 17.551%
O/U 36.551%
1H Spread -1.551%
Steelers 1H O/U 8.551%
Bills O/U 18.550%
Steelers O/U 17.550%
Bills O/U 19.550%
Steelers O/U 16.550%
O/U 49.550%
O/U 51.550%
O/U 55.550%
Bills O/U 16.550%
Bills O/U 22.550%
Bills O/U 25.550%
Steelers O/U 11.550%
Steelers O/U 14.550%
Steelers O/U 20.550%
Steelers O/U 23.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 25+50%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 19-2450%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 13-1850%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 7-1250%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Tie50%
Exact Margin: Bills by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Bills by 7-1350%
Exact Margin: Bills by 14-2050%
Exact Margin: Bills by 21+50%
Steelers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Bills Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Steelers vs. Bills: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.550%
Steelers vs. Bills: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
1H Moneyline50%
1H O/U 19.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q Spread -2.550%
1Q O/U 1.550%
1Q O/U 4.550%
1Q O/U 7.550%
1Q O/U 10.550%
1Q O/U 13.550%
Bills 1H O/U 8.550%
Bills 1H O/U 10.550%
Bills 1H O/U 12.550%
Steelers 1H O/U 6.550%
Steelers 1H O/U 10.550%
Spread -1.549%
O/U 37.548%
O/U 39.548%
Spread -2.547%
1H Spread -2.547%
Steelers vs. Bills45%
Spread -3.541%
Spread -4.538%
O/U 41.536%
O/U 43.528%
O/U 47.519%
O/U 53.511%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 95% YES probability for Steelers vs. Bills. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 27 at 7:00PM ET: If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers". If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If the game is postponed, th…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 17.5 at 95% for "Steelers vs. Bills".

O/U 17.5 95% Other 5%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $203K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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