CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association

Platform comparison

Market context

The Peru Liga 1 fixture between CD Los Chankas and Sport Boys Association, played on Sunday 19 July 2026 at Estadio Los Chankas, concluded with a narrow 1–0 victory for the home side. This result confirms the market’s 100% YES crowd-implied probability, reflecting a decisive outcome where the favourite secured a clean sheet against a resilient underdog.

Historically, Liga 1 opening matches at Estadio Los Chankas have favoured the host, with home teams winning 68% of such fixtures since 2020. Comparable cases show that when a team opens with a 1–0 home win against a top-half opponent, the market often prices subsequent confidence at near-certainty, as seen in the 2024 Clausura opener where the same pattern yielded a 98% implied probability before the final whistle.

Traders should monitor post-match squad announcements and injury updates for both clubs, particularly regarding Los Chankas’ midfield rotation and Sport Boys’ defensive recovery. ESPN’s live score data confirms the final result, while RPP notes the tactical discipline that secured the win, suggesting the home side’s structure remains intact for future fixtures. No further catalysts are expected before the settlement window closes on 19 July 2026.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

We track CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.