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IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

IF Elfsborg (-1.5) 100% IF Elfsborg (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $88K Liquidity: $467K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
IF Elfsborg (-1.5)100%
IF Elfsborg (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
IF Elfsborg O/U 0.5100%
IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5100%
IF Elfsborg O/U 2.5100%
IF Elfsborg 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
IF Elfsborg 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
IF Elfsborg 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Vasteraas SK (-1.5)0%
Vasteraas SK (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Vasteraas SK O/U 0.50%
Vasteraas SK O/U 1.50%
Vasteraas SK O/U 2.50%
IF Elfsborg 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Vasteraas SK 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Vasteraas SK 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Vasteraas SK 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Vasteraas SK 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Elfsborg travel to Västerås on 14 August for a mid-season Allsvenskan fixture. The crowd has priced this market at 100% YES, indicating near-certain settlement that additional betting markets will be offered for the match. This reflects standard practice in Swedish football coverage, where major bookmakers and exchanges typically expand their market suite for top-flight encounters, particularly as fixture dates approach.

Västerås SK and Elfsborg have faced each other regularly in Allsvenskan, with both clubs maintaining consistent league status. Historical precedent suggests that any Allsvenskan match involving established sides generates supplementary markets—goal-scorer bets, corner totals, card counts—within 48 hours of kickoff. The 100% probability reflects not a certainty about match outcome, but rather the near-universal practice of market proliferation in Swedish domestic football. Comparable fixtures from the 2024 and 2025 seasons show that even lower-profile Allsvenskan games receive expanded market offerings once scheduling is confirmed.

Traders should monitor official announcements from major Swedish betting operators and international exchanges in the week leading to 14 August. Fixture postponements or broadcaster changes occasionally delay market expansion, though such disruptions are rare in Allsvenskan. The settlement window closes at 17:00 GMT on match day, giving operators a narrow window to launch additional markets. Any injury announcements affecting key players at either club could theoretically influence market availability, though this would be an unusual constraint on market creation rather than a direct market driver.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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