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Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 88% Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado 79% Fight won by KO/TKO? 68% O/U 1.5 Rounds 62% Volume: $111K Liquidity: $66K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds88%
Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado79%
Fight won by KO/TKO?68%
O/U 1.5 Rounds62%
Silva to win by KO/TKO?57%
O/U 2.5 Rounds43%
O/U 3.5 Rounds30%
O/U 4.5 Rounds24%
Fight to Go the Distance?22%
Fight won by submission?13%
Delgado to win by KO/TKO?12%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 88% YES probability for Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card). This market will resolve to "Jean Silva" if Jean Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Miguel Delgado at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 88% for "Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 88% Other 12%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $111K.

Methodology

We track Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card) across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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