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UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

16% YES 84% NO Volume: $116K Liquidity: $225K Closes: 28 Jun 2026
Trade on Who Will Win 2026 →
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Who Will Win 2026 Pick
polygram.ink
16% 84% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
16% 84% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Who Will Win 2026 →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Who Will Win 2026 →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win 2026.

Active sub-markets

Fight won by submission?16% YES85% NO
O/U 0.5 Rounds85% Over16% Under
O/U 1.5 Rounds73% Over28% Under
Fight won by KO/TKO?45% YES55% NO
Pereira to win by KO/TKO?10% YES91% NO
Magomedov to win by KO/TKO?42% YES58% NO

Market context

The UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 16% YES. This market will resolve to "Michel Pereira" if Michel Pereira is officially declared the winner of the fight against Shara Magomedov at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, scheduled for June 27, 2026…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win 2026 triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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Related Topics

UFC Prediction Markets