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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 91% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 91% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 91% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 91% Volume: $312K Liquidity: $535K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.591%
Map 2 Winner62%
O/U 2.5 Games62%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)39%
Match Winner21%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)9%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: furia esports vs g2 esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in stands at 91% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 2 match between FURIA Esports and G2 Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at …

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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