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Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 71% Map 1 Winner 60% Map 2 Winner 60% Match Winner 60% Volume: $69K Liquidity: $187K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.571%
Map 1 Winner60%
Map 2 Winner60%
Match Winner60%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.560%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.559%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.556%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.554%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.552%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.547%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)47%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)47%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.546%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)45%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)45%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)45%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.542%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)34%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.531%

Market context

Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega — current market-implied probability: 71%. This market refers to the Valorant match between G2 Esports and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 18 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Espo…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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