Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-4.5) vs G2 Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-5.5) vs G2 Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-6.5) vs G2 Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-8.5) vs G2 Esports (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-7.5) vs G2 Esports (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-9.5) vs G2 Esports (+9.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 91% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-4.5) vs G2 Esports (+4.5) | 91% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5) | 91% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-5.5) vs G2 Esports (+5.5) | 91% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 91% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 91% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-6.5) vs G2 Esports (+6.5) | 57% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 26% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-7.5) vs G2 Esports (+7.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: g2 esports vs loud (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal match between G2 Esports and LOUD in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas St… on Who Will Win 2026
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