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Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $301K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs TEC Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs TEC Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs TEC Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs TEC Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs TEC Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs TEC Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%

Market context

TEC Esports faces All Gamers in a VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega best-of-three, originally set for 5:00AM ET on 20 July. All Gamers enters as the clear favourite, having secured the VCT 2026 China Kickoff title and finishing Stage 1 stronger, while TEC (listed as Titan Esports Club in some records) trails in recent form[1]. The crowd-implied probability sits at 0% YES for TEC, reflecting a consensus that heavily backs All Gamers; Strafe users predict an All Gamers win with 86.6% of votes, underscoring the market’s one-sided tilt[3].

Historically, Kickoff champions in VCT China have carried significant momentum into subsequent stages, often dominating mid-tier opponents like TEC in early group matches. All Gamers’ consistent wins over similar sides and competitive map scores against top teams such as EDward Gaming reinforce this pattern[1]. In comparable cases, a 0% implied probability for the underdog has rarely shifted unless a roster change or injury emerged pre-match, making contrarian value on TEC unlikely unless new catalysts appear.

Traders should monitor official VCT China announcements for any match delays, cancellations, or roster adjustments, as these could trigger the 50-50 settlement clause if unresolved beyond seven days. No recent news indicates such disruptions, but the settlement window ending 2026-07-20T15:10:00Z means any delay past this point risks a flat resolution[1]. With All Gamers’ dominance evident and no immediate dependencies flagged, the value spot remains firmly on the favourite, leaving little room for TEC to justify a price move.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

We track Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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