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Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet

Five-platform snapshot of "Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet 76% Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Set Handicap +/-1.5 61% Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Match O/U 21.5 51% Completed Match 50% Volume: $60K Liquidity: $48K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet76%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Set Handicap +/-1.561%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Match O/U 21.551%
Completed Match50%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Match O/U 22.550%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Match O/U 23.550%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Set 1 O/U 9.548%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Set 1 O/U 10.548%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Set 1 Winner46%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Set 1 O/U 8.544%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Set 2 Winner43%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Total Sets: O/U 2.536%
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet Set Handicap +/-1.527%

Market context

The Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet prediction market currently prices this outcome at 76% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Jones and Chloe Paquet in the Targu Mures, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jones' …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets